對2000年「達康泡沫危機」的預測證據

  • Ambiance Expectation Thermometer

  • Growth Index of Media Coverage

  • A Turning Point happened in 1999 and forecasted an alert

  • Ever worst Dot Com bubble disaster came in 2000

E-commerce Strategy

Year

Correlation

2000

-0.936**

1999

-.426

1998

.212

1997

.552

1996

.854*

1995

.985**

1994

.983**

1993

.962**

1992

.987**

1991

.994**

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