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  • A S-Typed General Adoptin Model

    • Passed 1st SD: Fermenting

    • Passed 2nd SD: Fast Growth

    • Entering 3rd SD: Stable Growth

    • Active Users: Continuous Grow

    • General Users: Decline

    • Cultivation Effect for 4 Years

    • Urban Busier Than Rural Area

    • A Mirage and an Oasis

  • Reliability and Stability of this Model

    • Reflecting the Attempt of Accessing

    • Scientific Paradigm of Marketing Research

    • Found Real Predictors and Forecast Model

    • Also Reveal the Alert of Dot Com Disaster

  • Next: Control?

    • Two Different Strategies:

    • Reactive: Careful, Easy, Following the Trend

    • Proactive: B-2-B Has Better Chance Than B-2-C